Israel has always been the most important country to judge the mRNA Covid vaccines.
It has nearly total adult vaccine coverage. Efforts to blame "the unvaccinated” for whatever is happening won’t hold. Israel has good data - far more complete and up-to-date than American figures. And it vaccinates quickly, so whatever impact the vaccines are having rolls through the population (and the data) quickly.
But most of all, Israel matters because Israel was first. It mass vaccinated with Pfizer’s mRNA first and it boosted first. And human biology is the same everywhere.
So what happens in Israel happens in all the other mRNA countries eventually. As the chief scientific officer of Pfizer said in September, Israel is a “sort of laboratory” for the vaccines.
Here’s how the Israeli experiment is going.
This chart tracks serious Covid cases (basically intensive care hospitalizations) in Israel from early 2020, the beginning of the epidemic:
(The United States has 36 times as many people as Israel, so 1,000 ICU patients translates into 36,000. Israel also has a relatively young population, meaning Covid will be less severe overall than in the US.)
The chart shows five distinct Covid spikes. The first two are in 2020, in the pre-vaccine era.
The third spike, the middle one, is the largest so far. It took place from December 2020 through February 2021, just as mass vaccinations of the elderly began.
As I wrote at the time on Twitter, that link probably wasn’t a coincidence. Countries near Israel that were not vaccinating didn’t have spikes as severe. Britain, the second major country to start mass vaccinations, did. Later work has shown a marked rise in infections just after the first mRNA dose, probably because the vaccine temporarily reduces overall immunity to infection.
But even a couple really bad weeks is a small price to pay for long-run success. What happened as the vaccination campaign progressed?
After January 2021, serious cases plunged, falling almost to zero by May - a total that included some unfortunate folks who’d been stuck on ventilators for months.
This was what I would later call the happy vaccine valley, that brief period when the vaccines appeared to work as advertised.
Vaccine advocates were overjoyed. They believed the vaccines would essentially end Covid. “Herd immunity” was in sight.
On May 20, Dr. Anthony Fauci told the Washington Post on May 20 he believed Covid could be eliminated in the United States - not merely controlled, but eliminated - if only enough people would be vaccinated.
Some people who are even more skeptical than I am will argue that the spring Israeli gains were largely seasonal and not vaccine-driven. I disagree. For most of May 2020, Israel reported fewer than 20 cases of coronavirus daily; I don’t think the decline was merely due to seasonality.
But it doesn’t matter.
The tragedy of the mRNA vaccines is not that they don’t work at all.
They do. For a couple months - four or five at most. And last spring, they gave the people who believed in them a glimpse of a world without Covid, a world in which dedicated researchers had destroyed drug industry skeptics like me and thrown the conspiracy theorists back in the basement.
Pfizer’s triumphant motto: “Science will win.”
Pfizer was wrong.
Science didn’t win. Biology won.
Our immune systems cleared out the anti-spike protein antibodies that the mRNA vaccines had forced them to make; and the vaccines did not produce the same long-term immunological improvements that natural infection and recovery from Covid cause.
Once the antibodies disappeared, the protection did too.
By July, new infections in Israel were soaring. By August, serious cases were soaring too. (The late summer 2021 spike is the fourth one on the top chart.)
The majority of the sick had been fully vaccinated - 60 percent as of mid-August. Yes, the unvaccinated still had a higher risk of becoming severely ill. But as I have written over and over, comparing death rates in unvaccinated elderly people in highly vaccinated countries to rates in the much larger group of vaccinated people is misleading. Many unvaccinated elderly people have not been vaccinated because they are too frail to tolerate a vaccine, and thus they are at high risk from Covid (or any illness).
The overall population-level numbers are what matter. Israeli health experts knew. “This is a very clear warning sign for the rest of the world,” one told Science magazine on August 15.
At this point public health authorities and governments in Israel and everywhere else had a choice.
They could admit that the mRNA vaccines were failing - that their protection was dropping and would continue to drop - and that the world would have to live with Covid for the foreseeable future.
Or they could double down and offer a third “booster” dose of mRNA - a dose that had not been given in the large clinical trials in 2020 from Pfizer and Moderna that had led them to authorize use of the vaccines.
Very preliminary clinical trial data suggested that a third dose would increase anti-spike-protein antibodies - temporarily. But no one could know whether it would produce long-term immunity. And the fact that original two-dose regimen had not done so should have been an enormous warning sign.
But political imperatives and an unwillingness to admit error took over. At this point the story turns dark.
The best - best! - possible interpretation of the press for boosters is that the vaccine advocates chose to “believe” in the vaccines, in the absence of any long-term safety or efficacy data on a third dose. But faith is not science. And by plenty of experts - including two of the Food and Drug Administration’s top vaccine regulators - openly questioned the plans to offer a third dose widely.
No matter. On Sept. 2, Fauci said at a White House briefing that he expected three doses would do the job where two had not.
“I must say, from my own experience as an immunologist, I would not at all be surprised that the adequate, full regimen for vaccination will likely be three doses… we have good reason to believe — that that only will not be a strong response, but that it will actually be durable.”
Here’s the Israeli serious case chart again - this time for the last six months, July through now.
Yep, the third dose “worked.”
Cases dropped again. But this time they didn’t get almost to zero, as they had in late spring; and the vaccine valley was even shorter. A third dose was LESS, not more, effective than the original regimen. And the lack of effectiveness occurred even though the vaccines produce a larger number of antibodies at the peak following the third dose than they do after the second.
Again, biology won.
But this time it wasn’t just human biology working against the vaccines. Sars-Cov-2 gets a vote too. And Sars-Cov-2 had mutated in a way to make the vaccines much less effective.
As a result, Omicron infections in Israel have reached levels that no nation in the world (aside from a couple of other equally highly vaccinated countries) have ever seen. Even though Omicron is not as dangerous as earlier variants, the total caseload is so high that the hospitals are once again filling.
This was entirely predictable. How predictable?
It’s over, okay?
Israel is first, always.
Other highly vaccinated and boosted countries are a few weeks behind, and their boosted patients may still have some partial protection against severe disease and death. (People who received two doses last winter or spring probably have none at this point, if the data out of Scotland and the United Kingdom are to be believed.)
But that won’t last. The Israeli experience this month could not be clearer. A third dose does not provide long-term protection. When it fails, the boomerang effect is severe. Hospitals come under even more pressure than they would in a “natural” Covid wave, because the vaccine failure is highly synchronized - everyone becomes exposed at once.
And so - insanity upon insanity - the Israelis are offering a fourth dose.
Why would anyone believe at this point that a fourth dose will help for more than a couple of weeks? Not months, weeks. The trend line was obvious even BEFORE Omicron arrived; and Omicron drives vaccine efficacy down even more quickly. In countries with good data, vaccinated people actually are more likely to be infected than the unvaccinated.
Further, a fourth dose is likely to have MORE severe side effects - remember, the second and third doses produce notably increasing levels of heart inflammation in men, and mRNA therapeutics were repurposed as vaccines because of problems with toxicity after repeated dosing.
The vaccines have been proven ineffective for more than a few months against the wild-type virus. They appear to have negative efficacy against Omicron.
Forget all the black swans. Forget Marek’s. Forget antibody-dependent enhancement. Forget the strange rise in all-cause deaths last fall in highly vaccinated countries (which mercifully, seems to have stopped in the United Kingdom in the last couple of weeks - though that easing raises even more questions about why it happened at all). Forget the risk of long-term immunocompromise that might lead vaccinated people to be at higher risk for future Covid infections. Forget the nearly one million side effect reports now in the federal Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System.
Judged SOLELY on the basis of the last year’s efficacy data, the mRNA vaccines are a failed product and should be withdrawn. Any future mRNA vaccines - against the Omicron variant or any other target- need to be tested for safety and efficacy in large-scale clinical trial for YEARS. Not months, years. This kind of billion-person experiment must never happen again.
It’s over, okay? We didn’t get the Hollywood ending.
Science didn’t win.
Actually, science did win. Science always said you could not vaxx away a respiratory virus. They just refused to listen.
Sadly this is like the seventh time it's "been over", but it never stops because it's not about a virus.
This wasn't science.
By the way, a Vitamin D and Ivermectin regimen cleared up my entire household's bout of COVID in 3 days.
Sometimes you need to repeat yourself until the world is ready to hear it .
Keep repeating this Alex.
The world is almost ready
"This kind of billion-person experiment must never happen again."
If there were no Covid shots; we prob would not have as many dead.
Oh, we got the Hollywood ending, all right.
Planet of the Apes
You say it’s over, but it ain’t over until I can fly to Europe or eat in a Chicago restaurant
They just bought up to 10 million doses of Novavax. A actual real vaccine that the FDA is doing all it can to keep out because it will supplant mrna vaccines, remove the political aspect of all this and allow the world move on to normalcy. Get a once a year benign shot that actually stops infection and isn’t controversial.
Alex, you should explore the Novavax angle. It is a absolute scandal what the FDA has been doing.
The next fertile ground for Fauci/Pharma: Infant to 4 yrs old - this from the NY Post: the White House said Wednesday that the COVID-19 vaccine regime for kids younger than 4 years old will likely be three doses when it’s approved. I believe he's going to try to get the COVID shot embedded in the "required vaccines" for infants/kids. This is outrageous.
One thing that I would definitely change. All Jabs (not just mRNA) need to be fully tested. No short cuts. Full Vax testing. No EUA for Jabs! Period End of Story!
I know it's over. You know it's over. Somebody better tell Fauci! He's coming for the infants next! And, sadly, half this country is so brainwashed, they don't want it to be over. They would line up for more and more boosters. It's crazy!
I have a friend who is an ICU Dr. at a Major Hospital Group in Houston.
He's a solid soldier for the "Vaccine" working. LOL I ask him to explain how it's a "vaccine" and he told my wife and I some mumbo jumbo and both of us ask him to give us an example of another "vaccine" that when taken the "vaccinated" person can still get the virus? He could not.
Anyway, he says at his Hospital not a single "vaccinated" person has been admitted into his ICU. I asked him how was that possible, considering the Israel and UK stats along with some of the Northern States who are seeing "vaccinated" people make up a chunk percentage of deaths. Again, he had no answer.
Someone at his hospital is screwing with those numbers if that's the case, it's the same virus and vaccine all around the world, it can't work better in Houston than Israel! He's a good guy, he's just being fooled like the rest of the "cult" members in the medical establishment. He's not fudging the numbers, but someone at the hospital is by the time these people hit his ICU unit.
Great post. IMO, your most compelling to date.
I hope you screen shot / archive every single news story you ever cite, Alex. Perhaps I’m just paranoid, but I don’t think it’s beyond the realm of possibility that the Post and other newspapers may alter or remove the most incriminating articles that chronicle the vaccines’ epic failure.
Thanks for letting me comment, at least I appreciate it...
Hmm, as a Jew, fascinating to watch other Jews cannibalize their own...
This isn't Stockholm Syndrome anymore, this is SadoMasocism Syndrome, kill and let one be killed, and, no protest of significance to stop this evil.
Thank you for saying this so emphatically and with so much data behind you. God willing, the medical wall ostracizing any who critique the safety and efficacy of the mRNA vaccines will finally crumble under the weight of evidence. I read a short thread today by Zuby (@ZubyMusic) wherein he talks about how these vaccines have become a new religion: “ It's mad weird.
I've never seen any product, let alone a pharmaceutical, so aggressively defended. With such religious fervour.” Scary times for those of us who thought critical thinking would kick in at some point only to see an unapologetic doubling and tripling down on what doesn’t work.
My favorite sentence in this entire essay: "This kind of billion-person experiment must never happen again."
How, HOW do we stop it with so much pharma money sloshing around in every economic system of the modern world? Propaganda is easily bought, easily believed - especially when it's widespread and pervasive. Mix in a bit of human arrogance ("Science Wins" - really Pfizer?) and we're doomed if we're not extremely vigilant.
All of the indicators were out there from the start if one were willing to look. We've never successfully created a vax for the common cold. The ones we have for flu are leaky as hell and not very effective. We put a guy whose efforts on AIDS were an epic fail in charge of this and expected different results. It really does take at least five years to develop a vaccine that is safe, effective and proven through controlled clinical trials, no matter how many rear ends Donald Trump decides to kick. Viruses are designed to mutate and evade defenses against them, and if you mass vax you're just entering an arms race with nature that you're destined to lose.
I'm not a scientist. I'm not a doctor. I don't play one on TV, and I did not stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night. I'm just a guy who stayed awake in high-school biology enough to get a passing grade, and I could see it.
Just a FYI... I posted a short excerpt from this article on my Facebook page and Facebook took it down as "misinformation"--with a warning to me. My response is not repeatable in polite company. I have no need of Facebook, so that was pretty much the last straw.
So clear, so simply laid out, so verifiably true. I am so disappointed in my many friends and associates who I thought were critical thinkers but who, in reality, volunteered for a massive pharma drug experiment without really giving it much thought. But, worse, there were those who chastised me for engaging in critical thinking before I would submit myself to an unproven, potentially harmful drug, rolled out to address a very survivable infection. How was I the reckless, irresponsible one? Thankfully, some listened, and tuned in. I think it is fair to say, it was a life-changing experience for a number of them. Many will never think about matters medical, institutions and "public health" the same way ever again.
Which brings to mind my mother's wisdom and the timeless truth in life that EVERYONE either learns by experience or not; YOU are your best medical advocate, and NO medical professional is invested in your health any more than you. Find the very best you can - the good ones are priceless - but, in the end, it is YOU that has to make the decisions about your health that matter the most. Learn it. Live it.
If you look at Fraudci and AZT, this is the same damned thing all over again. Exactly the same. Trainloads of money transferred to Pharma, Fraudci gets his cut. It all fails so we vax children. The same damned thing. Fraudci is culpable in the deaths of millions. So be sure to sign up for the 27th shot. TOTAL INSANITY. Welcome to 2022.
Being alive for 60 years i must say this is the most insane thing I have ever seen. A final solution 2.0 that was commited by and on their own people with a deadly slow kill bio weapon. The globalists are pure evil
Great article. I am unvaccinated - I was highly suspicious of the vaccines right from the start because everyone knows it takes many years to develop a good vaccine and there was no way a good one was going to be developed in months. You didn’t need to be Einstein to figure that out.
Plus high-profile deaths from the vaccine started occurring quite quickly - for example one of the first deaths was that doctor in Florida around December 2020.
Unfortunately countries are going to have to stick by the failing vaccines because the alternative is to admit it was a 1 billion person experiment and that they were wrong. I just can’t see them doing that.
The new Pfizer omicron vaccine is coming out in a couple of months and I think that Fauci and many other countries will mandate it for teachers and healthcare workers. I don’t think they’re going to stop until large numbers of healthcare workers and teachers die from the vaccine and they can’t hide it.
The other group to watch is the famous football players in Europe because they’re starting to collapse and die on the field. I think that may be what blows the lid on the vaccines a few more of them dying, sadly.
To me the most important issue, which gets much less press, is the foolishness of pushing the vaccine for younger people.
In the long run we may all regret getting the mRNA vaccine or not. However, for those who are ages 0-45, i.e. those who are prime candidates to reproduce some time in the future and who are prime candidates to survive Covid naturally, the risk of taking an unproven vaccine is vastly higher.
I think we can all agree that the mRNA vaccines have been bitterly disappointing in regards to herd immunity.
Hey Alex, you might like to take a look at the uprising in Australia where the people are serving their politicians over breaches of the Nuremberg code. https://www.bitchute.com/hashtag/australia/
And then there are the Canadian Truckers in a 40 mile long convoy heading to Ottawa and the riots in Europe. All of this unrest due to the machinations of politicians and the loss of freedoms over an overhyped pandemic.
My question is simple... have we been globally conditioned to a degree where they believe they can get away with it?
And the colleges continue to force their students to get the booster. A Boston College sophomore is in the hospital post booster with a stroke. Please cover this Alex! Too many kids are going to be harmed and Boston College doesn't care.
Alex, it ain't over. People on their third jab who still get infected - rather than believing that the vaccine failed - are now being rewarded with "super immunity" - which is, of course, a scientific term and not at all made up MSM bs.
We're definitely being lied to. Two days ago the US had supposedly over 3k deaths in one day (among the highest one day totals ever). The Vax is failing. Efforts to blame the unvaxxed are so stupid. Most hospitals use "Epic" software as indirectly mandated by Obamacare. Epic is an overpriced, bureaucratic nightmare that is taking power away from doctors and privacy away from patients. But it is also responsible for reporting many Covid cases and deaths. When a doctor enters the vax status into Epic there are just two choices...Vaxxed or unknown. In the USA, unknown vaxxed deaths are being lumped with the unknown. We used to see the media always call this a pandemic of the unvaccinated, but they've shut up about that now. Even with their flawed numbers, they are seeing the ratio of vaxxed to unvaxxed deaths change exponentially. Lastly there is the reality that C19 evolves and mRNA vaccines are producing genetically identical clone spikes very easy to adapt against. Arguing for more vaccines is like arguing for more antibiotics against evolved and immune bacteria.
Yet another brilliant, entirely persuasive article by Mr. Berenson, one of the few people who is actually telling the truth about Covid-19. I had two shots of the Moderna vaccine, one in February 2021 and one in late March 2021. The blood test for my annual physical in August 2021 showed greatly elevated protein specific antigen (PSA) compared to what it had been for decades. For at least 20 -25 years, it had been in the range of 0.5 to 0.9. All of a sudden it was over 2.0, and then in October 2021 it went to 2.48. Finally, in December, it subsided to 0.88 (early December) and then 0.68 (late December). 4.0 is the highest normal reading, so I was not super-alarmed. I believed the vaccines caused very mild inflammation of my prostate gland -- and this inflammation lasted for around 7 to 8 months. I guess I'm lucky I didn't get an inflamed heart out of this. I'm 68 years old.
Excellent post Alex except I would argue science did win. "The Science" has been showing what a bad idea this has been all along, it was just ignored by those in power.
Thank you, Alex. Hopefully, Israel will lead by arriving at the same conclusion as you.
Meanwhile, I'm waiting from Rolling Stone to publish an op-ed from Dave Grohl and Beyonce on what a bad person Alex is.
Alex - As always, thanks for the work you do on this. :)
A bit off topic from this post, but I was watching an interview last night, with a healthy dose of skepticism, with a mortician drawing a connection between what he's seeing in arteries when he goes to embalm a body and COVID vaccination.
Anyway, made me wonder about post-mortem research on COVID.
Found the Bloomberg article below. Given this is a pandemic, it seems extremely odd that there wouldn't be more research in this area. Wouldn't there be a lot to learn on the "back-end"?
Just thought that might an interesting aspect to pursue.
Nuremberg 2.0. Yesterday the NYC Mayor posted: "Never again” isn't a mere slogan. It’s a promise to the memory of those lost in the Holocaust and the countless survivors who call New York City home that we will confront anti-Semitism in all its forms and protect our city from the forces of hatred. - yet he continues to maintain a papers please, arrest the unclean regime.
Alex. I like the post, but GEEEEEZ. Re-label the Hebrew heiroglyphics, Please.
Is it really over? The jabs unquestionably alter human DNA in ways yet to be determined. Since covid-19 was lab created, not naturally occurring, who knows what’s in that genome? So what happens when a vaxxed man and a vaxxed woman conceive a child and pass their laboratory altered DNA to their child? Where’s the safety data on that? Recall that the devastating effects of DES given to pregnant women didn’t show up until the children began to reach puberty.
OK so I wonder how the non mRna vaccines hold up? Is there any data out there that is available and trustworthy? When St. Fauci got on TV and was asked about taking antibody tests to see who was immune you know if something like natural immunity could be measured , he said "no.. blah blah". I had a very mild case of C19 and have antibodies. This is why I will never get vaxxed. I don't like being lied to and there are so many lies going around it just aggravates me.
However, I am concerned still about all these folks who took the vaccines that do not work, would a traditional vaccine work better or not? I know the Novavax one may eventually get approved. Or is this all in vain?
Therapeutics are the way out in my view. I just listened to part of the 5 hour testimony presented by Senator Ron Johnson, a nurse said her hospital would not even allow IV asorbic acid. The audience burst into laughter at that one, because it was so absurd.
The gov't agencies, the hospitals have lost credibility and it will not be possible to gain trust again. The overloads can censor every person from here to Shiola and it won't help.
We are going to need to rebuild our health system probably from the ground up. I think we need to start thinking about what we want it to look like and let's just get it started. If you build it, they will come.
Real science did win. Our bodies are full of incredible science. The fake, man-made science "vaccines" lost. Watch natural immunity take over as Omicron speeds through the world population.
Except it is not over. They are still forcing us to get shots to work or have transplants. It makes me sick to my stomach.
Alex, serious question. If nothing but therapeutics, you know, the ones that were known by fauxci and others to be effective but purposely suppressed, had been the course taken, how many people of the 4+ million world wide would still be alive today? How about a little back if the envelope calculating for that?
According to the esteemed panel at Senator Ron Johnson's hearing, roughly 98% of those victims would be alive today. But what do they know? They've only treated collectively many thousands of patients.
As Alex suggested, it looks like the average immune system sees the mRNA proteins as invaders and memory cells go into hyperdrive to rid the system of the mRNA invaders, back to the drawing board. It also looks as if Pfizer may be inundated with future lawyers.
People need to go post this link on Bari Weiss's article attacking Alex today. Even better, maybe you can respond directly Alex? Her article uses an outdated study from months ago to assert you are spreading misinformation about vaccine efficiency today.
Big Pharma won. They sold billions of dollars worth of a nearly useless vaccine with no liability for all harms. Humanity & science lost because approx 750,000 lives could have been saved and trillions of dollars would not have been redistributed to the elite billionaires away from the poor and middle class (much in the form of future tax burdens). Humanity and science would have won if early treatment would have been used as an inexpensive way to end the pandemic just like Uttar Prudesh province of India did. Most people do not have or take time to honestly look into "things that work" with critical thinking to detect truth over lies. Our only way to win is to have Neuremburg Trials for those this did this purposefully knowing the results would be very damaging to peoples lives. It is no secret who pushed all of this madness if you look for them.
"And human biology is the same everywhere...." Statements like this show that you really needed to spend the time to get a few science degrees instead of, what was it, politics and economics bachelors? Genetics vary markedly between groups...maybe you have heard of things like sickle cell trait? Ugh.
This is not a failure of science...science is a process. These morons abandoned science, abandoned it's process. It cannot be rushed, and it cannot be molded to fit political narratives without horrible compromise.
Reading this post makes me realize that Covid-19 is endemic and sadly, will shorten many of our lifespans in the years ahead. Bret Weinstein said as much on Darkhorse the other night. Which makes it all the more urgent to find out once and for all EXACTLY where this damned thing came from and who is responsible. I'll take Diminutive Italian-American sociopaths for $500 Alex.
The vaccines provided "protection" against alpha, then there were some "breakthrough" infections in delta. But when you're boosted and then still infected with omicron, you get "super immunity". That's the science that all of us on Substack fail to understand.
FDA asks court to delay release of first 55,000 pages of vax documents; wants Pfizer to help make redactions.
Senate hearing conducted by Sen Ron Johnson is a must watch. We are being experimented on & Fauci, the DOD, & other agencies are covering up statistics, manipulating data & covering up on what the vaxcine is causing.
From the great Ian Miller: Hospitalizations in Australia are 21,464% higher than they were last January, despite mask mandates, vaccine passports, 96% of everyone 16+ at least partially vaccinated & forced quarantine camps.
I think we need to question the "high caseload" theory of Omicron. I find the numbers being put out by the US, and especially Italy, France, and Spain, to be utterly ridiculous on their face. I strongly suspect that something has gone wrong in the testing regime. I find no reason to believe Omicron's scope is any larger than Delta's was, or Alpha's in 2020. I suspect the variants are all largely the same with regards to CFR- we are just creating more false positives for some reason.