345 Comments

you worry too much, and there are a LOT of ways out of this box if you just THINK LIKE A LIBERAL: First, inflation is math, and math is RAAAAACCCCCIIIISSSTT! Don't be racist! And it doesn't matter because the MOST BRILLIANT economic mind of our time, AOC, will just tell Brandon to print more money so we can afford "stuff". And if you are hungry, just take the food you want 'cuz it's not stealing if you are hungry. Finally, the energy problem will be gone soon because high school dropout Greta has a plan. There...feel better?

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The market went up because no serious sanctions were put in place.

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Wait until China gets into the game...

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A Staged Russia/Ukraine Conflict Is Part of the Plan To Take Down the Current World Order

"Coincidentally" Chinese aircraft entered Taiwan’s defense airspace on the same day that Russia invades Ukraine.

https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/a-staged-russiaukraine-conflict-is

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Capital fleeing the EU,Alex. Gotta keep the global perspective in mind.

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This "war" is Hillary, Obama, FJB and Europe's fault not Russia. Ukraine elected a pro russian govt during Obama's time. But, we and Europe didn't like that. So, Hillary staged a coup and installed a pro euro govt. Not very democratic is it? All Europe and US had to do was to commit that Ukraine could NOT be in NATO and this is all avoided. But, no, Biden needs his Ukraine profits and a wag the dog war to distract from his vaxx disaster, inflation disaster, OUR border disaster (hmmm, defend Ukraine border but NOT USA border), debt disaster, education disaster.......

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Remember people...this is all intentional. How many times did Trump warn what would come with inflation and energy prices if the puppet was placed into the WH? The surest path to destroy peoples lives is thru hyper inflation and increased energy costs leading to wait forrrrr it....the very same Government who did this to you will thru propaganda, and false compassion offer to send you more FREE money-stimulus so you and your kids will have to pay back thru increased taxes over time. How many times has this played out thru the decades getting more and more people dependent on the Government?

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It's a continuation of what Naomi Klein masterfully documented in her book the Shock Doctrine (2005). The Washington Consensus and neoliberal establishment have created an alternate economy for themselves and wars are an essential part of it. The stock market will continue to rise, because the individuals and entities with real money and power are already protected from the downsides and positioned to profit handsomely. Oh, and it's also a fabulously convenient distraction for our governments to help us lose sight of what they've done to us the past 2 years... which was also another version of the 'Shock Doctrine' in action. For those who haven't read it, it's a hell of a book. Definitely worth reading.

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founding

We need everything made here in America and start opening more nuclear power plants. And the green new deal is dead. So we dont wake up to the sounds of explosions.

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Inflation doesn’t include the cost of food (20-100% increase) or gas (more than doubled). The middle and lower classes are hurting a lot more than you think. On top of that taxes keep going up to pay teachers higher wages and bonuses for their ‘bravery’ during COVID.

The US needs to go on an austerity program, slash the size and scope of government, and bring all of the jobs back from China and overseas, close the borders and send all of the ‘refugees’ home ASAP, and get tough on crime. Of course the US also needs to shake up education, stop backing student loans and house loans, disolve the teachers unions and slash grants of all kinds.

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Ron Paul is correct 99.7% of the time.

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"So Russia invades Ukraine and stocks go UP.

Why? Because the hedge funds that rule the market care about one thing and one thing only, keeping the flow of free money coming from the Federal Reserve at any cost."

Alex needs to stick to pharma analysis. That statement makes zero sense. The Fed is far more likely to raise rates if the market is going up than if the market is crashing, which is what it was doing early in the day (DOW down over 800 points). Hedge funds making sure the markets don't crash means less free money (see cheap debt) coming from the Fed.

What happened today was markets were spooked by the initial reports and scale of the invasion. That sent the DOW down over 800 points and gold and oil soaring. Gold was up over $50 and oil up over $7 breaking the $100 per barrel mark before the opening bell rung and early after markets opened. But as the day progressed and markets were assured the US and Europe weren't going to actually escalate by sending actual troops, the spook cooled and the markets completely reversed. DOW, S&P500 and NASDAQ all ended up positive and oil and gold ended up negative.

You have two dynamics now at play. The Fed hinting at raising rates to curb inflation (good luck with that) and now a countervailing dynamic of war that threatens Europe, which typically would result in looser fiscal policy to finance the war effort or paper over economic impacts from it. Volatility is through the roof because uncertainty about which way this is going to go is through the roof. That's what this is about. Not hedge funds.

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"and doing nothing is what this Fed does best"

You calling printing 1/3 of all dollars in the world in one year nothing?

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I am a senior living on a fixed income. I see the death of me in this situation. Horrible horrible administration and president. Worst in my lifetime.

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I am unapologetic laissez faire capitalist.

What we are in is not even remotely capitalism. It is a state run system run by a relatively small circle of powerful cliques.

The Fed has always been abused by the powerful. Starting on Day 1 in 1913.

But it is now so overt and on such a large scale that the most affluent are arrogating $trilliins - yes $trillions in the form of near zero cost debt, and using that debt to buy up the country. Central bank policy like this is grossly redistributive - away from most of society and toward the ultra affluent.

Simultaneously, the government can spend without the legislative burden of paying for it. It simply comes at a cost to everyone in the form of lost purchasing power (inflation).

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Maybe you should stick to vax chat since it is clear that your understanding of markets is quite simplistic and confused.

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This was a short-covering event for SPX. All the Wall Street types were concerned about what might happen - would President Klain decide to do something really nutty, like a winter war in Russia?

Turns out - no colossal winter war blunder. It really is just a Wag-the-Dog event. Policy became clear: "We're gonna blame inflation & shortages on PUTIN!!" So, the shorts cover, and prices rally accordingly.

May be correct about the Fed too. "Can't raise rates during wartime! Americans must sacrifice the value of their money for Democracy in Ukraine!" I'm sure the policy will all depend on the polling.

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Gee, it almost feels like they want the US economy to crash and burn...oh yeah, that's cuz they do! :(

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#SecureUSASouthernBorder

#LetsGoBrandon

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Once again, Main Street suffers, while Wall Street profits. 😠

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This isn't a failure, it's a feature. Look at Biden's Fed nominees and tell me they care about the little guy. They're actively trying to destroy the little guy. At least we live in interesting times.

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Watch the weapons sales skyrocket to Europe. Spending is GOING UP, UP, UP!

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What I want to understand is WHY do Americans need to suffer--as El Demento says--so we can support a democracy in a country that is not democratic?

Don't get me wrong: I feel badly for Ukrainians who will suffer badly from the invasion.

Here's another mystery: WHY does the US continue to import oil from Russia? Why do these imports continue when the US has lots of oil & natural gas--and El Demento needs only restart the drilling?

I guess I need to ask the dopey little girl from Westchester and the mouthy Swedish brat.

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I shorted every index last evening. At noon I looked like a hero. I went to the dentist and by the time I got done I had lost $1000. I took it in stride though. Because in the end, nothing can stop the market crash that is coming. Absolutely nothing.

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Opposing platforms…

Print, baby Print…

…versus Drill Baby Drill

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Lads, stock up on wheelbarrows while you can They'll be needed to pay for bread soon.

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But remember, the number one priority of the Fed is to keep the current administration in power.

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Virtually all of the billionaire globalists who are now waging their War on Humanity, to effect massive depopulation and to turn the rest of us into their slaves, made their money by leveraging government coercion in one way or another - either by directly connecting to the government money teat, by relying on sham government "regulation" and bogus patents backed by stables of patent attorneys to eliminate competition, or by playing the Fed-supported markets.

None of this would have been possible without the massive government counterfeiting operation that's been going on for 100 years or more, but which has been radically accelerating since 1971 when Nixon, under arch-globalist Kissinger's influence, closed the Fed's gold and silver windows for good. Over the last 18 months or so, the US money supply has been roughly doubled, with the lion's share of that going to support these bubble markets, but more of it than in past years has been trickling down into price inflation which is finally starting to be seen as a serious problem by the man in the street.

All fiat currencies go to 0, and the US$ has already lost 99% of its value since 1913 when the Fed was created, ostensibly just to act as a liquidity backstop and a clearinghouse for the private banks.

This Ponzi scheme really got going in the late 1970s, and when the man in the street caught wise and started exchanging his rapidly depreciating currency for Krugerrands, something had to be done to nip that comeuppance to the globalists in the bud. Enter new Fed head Paul Volcker, who abruptly raised interest rates to 15-20%, torpedoing the economy, but bringing the gold price down from it's peak of $800/ounce to about $400 an ounce, where it persisted for a couple of decades.

Meanwhile, inflation continued on it's merry way, but has been disguised since 1980 by massive doctoring of the two official measures of inflation: the consumer-oriented CPI, and the Fed's preferred measure, the PCE deflator.

Actual inflation since then, basis the undoctored 1980 CPI, which is tracked from month to month at economist John Williams's ShadowStats website using government data, has averaged 10% a year since 1980, and has now reached 16% and continuing to climb, as the second of the two charts on this page shows: http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts.

Thus, every dollar stolen from your paycheck in 1980 and ostensibly added to your Social Security account, not only hasn't, like conservative savings, been put out at interest so that it multiplies over time: if you retire now, that dollar, which you haven't had the use of for 40 years, is now worth the 1980 equivalent of about 5 cents.

The only group in this country whose incomes have more or less kept up with actual inflation are those in the top 10% by income: the inflation adjusted median income in the US since 1980 is now only a fraction of what it was, in spite of wage and salary increases and nominal COLA adjustments.

The parasitical rich and upper management classes (the "virtuals") have sucked the lifeblood out of the middle class and the working classes, and as the bubble markets begin, finally, to collapse, money coming out of those markets is jacking up consumer prices, even as the supply is being constricted by socialist regulation and central planning in response to manufactured crises like the COVID and global warming scams, and manufactured wars.

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Also before the 2014 Crimean vote, senior USA people like John Kerry and John McCain visited the Ukraine and told the government armed , angry very right people should be allowed protest and this was against a democratically elected government.

Even at home in the USA no one would have tolerated protest like this. They would have been met with rubber bullets at a minimum.

But just like Antfia and BLM they are peaceful protests.

Justin Trudeau supports the tyrannical leaders in the Ukraine and is one against the peaceful ones at one. 5M + Canadians need to sign and simultaneously email the GG and use it to tell the Canadian GG to dissolve the government. They want central bank digital currency no cash, so Canada can be like China and have a social credit system. He said he like Chinese dictatorship and we can see he was to be a dictator of Canada.

All countries who want to control all money need to be removed now, as they don't work for the people they want the people enslaved.

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In 2014 85-90% Crimea voted to leave Ukraine. They did not want to be part of country with a tyrannical government installed by the west. These 2 annexed provinces feel the same. I would not be surprised most of Ukraine would rather have prosperity with Putin, that the crap the government installed by the west gave them before 2014.

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Feb 25, 2022·edited Feb 25, 2022

Want to see the real effect of inflation on real people before all the number massaging that goes into todays reported CPI? Go to http://www.shadowstats.com . 7% headline would be 11% based on 1990 method of calculation and 15% if done by the 1980 methodology. You can’t eat hedonic adjustments.

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Why is Western Europe worried about energy from Russia? They still have wind and solar right?

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Feb 25, 2022·edited Feb 25, 2022

The inflation rate is already well into double digits. The CPI ( aka CP Lie) has been modified several times since the 70s to make the situation look better. But you are right, this Ukraine situation will make inflation worse. Fed tightening needs to happen no matter what and it should have happened a long time ago. I’m a manufacturer and our PPI was at about 7% when I was seeing double digit material cost increases nearly a year ago.

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Here's the real reason IMO the feds don't want to raise the rate. Just a few years ago, the interest alone on the federal debt was 200 billion a year. Now the federal debt is 29 trillion plus. Imagine what would happen if interest rates went up. The federal interest payments on the debt would skyrocket even more and consume much of the federal budget. We're becoming Greece...

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The economy has always been a sham run by the wealthy who have no actual skills to produce a single fucking thing besides gambling on other people's business.

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Banks are getting free money at 0% interest. They can loan as much money as they want because it’s free! Has that credit card company lowered your interest rate to 3or4%? No, it’s still 12-28%. There’s a lot stock being purchased on margin. If the market really crashes then those margin calls start a coming. That accelerates the selling and the losses for you and the big hedge funds. The markets should have dropped 40-50% as soon as Hiden was elected. These guys know he’s an idiot. It didn’t because of the free money.

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I like your political coverage but this is embarrassingly ignorant.

Hedge funds have no direct influence on Federal Reserve's monetary policies, so they don't "keep the flow of free money coming" (whatever that means).

The largest owner of stocks are owned by individuals via mutual funds and ETFs run by Blackrock/Vanguard. The speculative hedge funds (who manages money for high net-worth individuals, endowment funds, etc.) are often "long-short" and are supposed to perform well during large drawdowns, hence the word "hedge" in their names. Many of them do not benefit from a bull market.

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The issue in the Ukraine is that there were embedded neo nazi groups running bio labs. That is what Putin is going after, and Zelinsky is aligned with Putin to get those neo nazi bio labs out. The news is completely wrong on all of this. https://lettersfromvienna.substack.com/p/why-are-there-nazis-in-the-ukraine?utm_source=url

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Brandon and Granny is thanking Pootie bigtime for the distraction. May they all rot in hell.

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It's the end of the world how we know it and I feel fi... no, like turning Japanese, I feel like turning Japanese, I really think so. So...goodbye yellow brick road.

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Interestingly, Dick Morris points out that by causing oil prices to rise so much Biden is financing

Putin's war effort in Ukraine. Did you also notice that Biden and Putin are 5 letter words? Take the n off and both are four letter words. Bide and Puti.

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The Fed will raise rates 25bp and stop buying bonds in mid-March.

Biden has purposely tried to increase the price of oil. The Fed can’t do anything about that.

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Raise the interest rate to fight inflation. Not going to happen. Higher interest rates would take a chunk out of the Green New Deal expenditures that aren't working out so well because a much larger portion of the Fed expenditures would go to pay for higher interest rates on the $30T of debt we have so wisely created! All of this is theatre! Bad theatre that is! Sides! Raising interest rates will soon be.....whispering across the podium...RACIST!

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Feb 25, 2022·edited Feb 25, 2022

Of course, those are the top criminals of the so named "western democracy"... they are the ultimate neo nazi that rule everything.

Financial Markets are completely rigged, if Sec was doing his job in the last 30 years, they could have deleted Morgan, Goldman and all of their "children"... You could have built a couple of max security prisons in that time, to fit them all...

The peculiarity of Wall Streets is that they can play with dems or cons, no problems! Or in other words they put the money on both so they're sure to win...! Cons legislators and Demo legislators have permitted all kind of financial products without denying a single one to this Ponzi Teams... Derivatives and Options are the top of the financial shit.

Leman crash? Why? Does any american matters of Leman crash now?? Don't think so..

They even allowed videogamers and kids to play in the markets too, through various platform, one for all: Robin hood one!! And they even allowed them to be quoted!!!

I mean, do you really want to change last 2 years of dictatorships in the west? So take them all and and jail them , take all of their money and distributed to everyone. This guys are so nazi and arrogant, that even go to TV shows/news and talk about inequality... poor men and women... saying that it has gown too much... What a SQUALID show is western society showing around the world.

Instead, you did as you did with rests of Twin Towers, you hided them into the ocean... who knows, may be someone could have checked if they really melt or could have find clear traces of powerful WESTERN explosives...

Have fun with neo nazi at home

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This is not accurate, the market had already priced in a Russian invasion, this was just a reversal, especially since its clear US/NATO are coming together. Also inflation only partly due to low interest rates, more has to do with retiring baby boomers/unexpected results of pandemic

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Biden told Puten it’s ok to invade because then he can tell Powell to halt rate hikes and blame economic consequences on Putin. The “sanctions” are a smoke screen, Wall Street gets richer along with Pelosi and all the other elite cronies. Everybody else can eat the proverbial cake and drone on about “saving democracy”. Après moi, le déluge….

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Brandon has put all his chips on blue and yellow, and Putin is going to roll him in the first real-life U.S.-Russian toe-to-toe and he is going to humiliated further, completely owned. Doing Ukraine was planned as a Hail Mary pass and he is going to get sacked on his own 1-yard line. Hey isn't Janet Yellen of "Ukrainian" descent?

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You can blame Wall Street, but the people that really don’t want interest rates to go up are in the White House and the Capital.

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The stock market often has little sense of reality. As Paul Samuelson said it has predicted nine of the last five recessions.

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Russia and so by proxy Trump caused gas prices to escalate and result in hyper inflation. That will be the DNCNN repeat and idiot Amerikans will believe it.

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