We know not what we do
By July, 98 percent of British adults had coronavirus antibodies, mostly through vaccination. Yet 35,000 Britons since then have died of COVID. Nearly all were jabbed. Now cases are soaring again.
It is time to face reality.
If Britain is the future of the coronavirus in highly mRNA vaccinated countries, the future is bleak.
Britain authorized Pfizer’s mRNA Covid vaccine even before the United States. It vaccinated against Covid faster than any other advanced country except Israel.
The results have been worse than unpromising.
Last week, Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, warned the coronavirus would remain a public health threat “for the rest of our lives.” This assessment is far grimmer than any that American officials have made, at least publicly. But Britain is now facing yet another wave of Covid infections and deaths - its fourth, or fifth, or sixth, depending on who’s counting.
Dismissing Whitty as a fearmonger would be easy. In much of 2020 and 2021, he pushed lockdowns and offered regular predictions of doom.
But even a stopped hysteric can be right twice a day. And Whitty’s assessment is actually much darker than one he made in mid-December - when he predicted that “each six months [going forward] will be better than the last six months.”
This graph of the last year of Covid deaths in Britain explains why Whitty is no longer optimistic:
After falling close to zero during spring 2021, during the happy vaccine valley, Covid deaths rose through the summer and have remained stubbornly high ever since.
Week after week, about 1,000 people in Britain are dying from Covid, based on the most conservative definition of Covid deaths - those that occur within four weeks of diagnosis. During the Omicron wave the number rose even higher.
In reality Britain does not seem to have “waves” of Covid anymore.
Even when new variants roll out, deaths no longer fall close to zero, as they did in 2020, before the mRNA shots were introduced - and as they still do in countries that did not use those jabs.
Nearly all these deaths - over 90 percent, closer to 95 percent under a more expansive definition of Covid deaths - now occur in people who have taken Covid shots.
Even in people under 50, most Covid deaths now occur in the jabbed.
What’s gone wrong, and what happens next?
Those questions will not be easily answered.
Later this week, I hope to come back to one crucial issue - the fact that mRNA jabbed people struggle to develop antibodies to parts of Sars-Cov-2 other than the spike protein even after infection.
But even as I have been chasing that question I am struck by how LITTLE research has been done on it. The best paper I can find on the role anti-nucleocapsid antibodies may play in the development of immunity was published in 2020.
Because the mRNA vaccines fail to produce antibodies to any part of the coronavirus except the spike protein (and really just one part of that), research on other potential drivers of immunity seems to have withered. Whether this is simply an effort to chase research dollars I do not know, but whatever the reason for it, it has happened at the worst possible time.
We are not quite flying blind. But a lot of the instruments are out, and the clouds are gathering. We were lucky with Omicron. It is contagious and very good at escaping vaccine immunity, but not very dangerous. We may not be as lucky next time.
Governments and scientific researchers need to stop trying to ignore or even hide the obvious crisis now unfolding. They need to stop pretending the answer is more rounds of boosters, which at best will increase spike antibodies for a couple of months - at the cost of unknown long-term damage. (More mRNA boosters are politically untenable in any case, especially in the United States, where fewer than half of vaccinated people have taken them.)
Before they can do anything else, they need to stop pretending that what is happening now is in any way what they promised.
The fact they keep trying to do so is stunning, when less a year ago, in May 2021, the British Broadcasting Corporation wrote that “The vaccines are working wonderfully,” added that they reduced the risk of hospitalizations by up to 85 percent AFTER ONE DOSE, and asked:
A year later, it’s clear Sir Bell is right. The world - at least the mRNA-vaccinated world - “may indeed be at a tipping point.”
Just not the way he thought.