URGENT: Cancer deaths rose in Japan in 2022 and 2023, post-mRNA Covid shots

The jump was small but statistically significant, with leukemia deaths almost 10 percent above normal. This is the clearest signal to date of a link between Covid vaccines and cancer.

Japan had about 12,000 more cancer deaths than expected in 2022 and 2023, Japanese researchers reported in a preprint today.

The increase was small in relative terms, about 2 percent more deaths than expected. But it reached statistical significance, meaning it is probably not a chance finding. It offers the strongest evidence yet that mRNA jabs may cause cancers in some people.

Further, the cancer that caused the most extra deaths was leukemia, an immune system cancer that might most directly be impacted by the mRNAs. Leukemia deaths rose 8 percent annually, over 1300 extra deaths total. On a monthly basis, the sequence is striking, with leukemia deaths clearly jumping after vaccinations began in 2021.

The researchers acknowledged they could not prove the mRNA shots had caused the increase in deaths. But they called for an “urgent” inquiry.

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The numbers from Japan are particularly important because Japan used the mRNA-based Covid vaccines almost exclusively and had high jab coverage. It also has an excellent medical system and records and a relatively healthy population, so it has fewer confounders — known or unknown variables that might bias these results.

People are more likely to die from cancer as they age, and Japan’s population is aging rapidly. So demographic researchers have to adjust for the average age of a population to fairly compare changes year by year. These researchers did so, using techniques very similar to those that Japan’s official government agencies use. They reported 7,160 extra deaths in 2022 — about 2.1 percent above the expected total — and 4,730 in 2023, 1.4 percent above expectations.

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(mRNA shots, then leukemia. The chart on the right shows annual rates of leukemia deaths in Japan, adjusted for age. The chart on the left shows monthly deviations from normal - in the red bars - plotted against Japan’s vaccination cycles, the lower blue graph.)

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Besides leukemia, several other types of cancers showed statistically significant increases, including prostate and oral cancers. Skin cancers rose notably in 2023 but the increase did not quite reach statistical significance.

Deaths from ovarian cancers rose even more relative to baseline than leukemia, but ovarian cancer is less common than leukemia, so the absolute rise was lower, about 900 extra deaths.

The researchers acknowledged that they did not know the vaccination status of the people who had died and so could not directly link the rise in deaths to the mRNAs.

But given how predictable cancer deaths are, and how common Covid vaccinations were in Japan in 2021 and 2022, it is very unlikely statistically that even a small increase could have occurred if vaccinated people were not the vast majority of those affected.

In their discussion, the researchers noted several potential biological routes through which the mRNAs might drive cancer. Though none has been proven, the increase in cancer fatalities — now lasting two years in one of the world’s largest developed countries — can no longer be ignored, they wrote.

“The coincidence of the timing requires an urgent and rigorous investigation, including analyses by vaccination status and clinical validation,” they wrote.

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