The truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth

Three years after mass Covid mRNA vaccinations began, we have a clear picture of their value, or lack thereof - even if the media will never tell it

Last night I walked through the evidence the mRNA jabs don’t save lives once people become ill enough with Covid to need hospitalization.

But that piece was somewhat technical.

What’s the 50,000-foot-view? Three years after mass jabs began, what do we know?

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Let’s go back to an email exchange I had with Derek Thompson of the The Atlantic in 2021, as Thompson attempted to write a takedown of me.

The green is Thompson’s question, the black my answer:

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Okay, that was March 22, 2021.

Three years, three-plus billion doses, and $100 billion in mRNA shots later, what do we know?

Here’s what I wrote a friend in the media (I think he’s still a friend) this morning, along with a link to last night’s article about the inability of the shots to prevent Covid deaths in hospitalized people:

The mRNA vaccines were useful in spring and summer 2021, when they actually prevented infection, though only for people over 65 or people 50-65 with serious comorbidities. They have been worthless ever since.

The first booster should have been restricted to people in those brackets; it extended the infection protection through the fall of 2021.

Further boosters should never have been approved. Their duration of efficacy against infection (B-cell/antibody production) can be measured in weeks, and there is no evidence they cause further T-cell maturation, so they are useless.

All of the apparent efficacy against Covid severe disease and death since early 2022 is likely healthy vaccine user bias. To the extent there is any leftover efficacy, it is from T-cells that the first shots generated. And even if boosters do have some marginal benefit (doubtful), it must be weighed against risk.

Had safety data continued to be conducted on the big 2020 pivotal clinical trials for several more months - as would have been possible if the winter/spring 2021 rollout had been tightly restricted, the mRNAs might NEVER have been approved at all for people under 50; their Covid risk is too low and the long-term effects of the technology too unclear.

Finally, the mRNAs should have been tested in a head-to-head-to-head trial against both DNA/AAV shots and older, simpler inactivated virus vaccines (the government could easily have forced this, even from Pfizer, by telling manufacturers it would not pay for any shots not included in the trials).

The only reason we didn't act more carefully and thoughtfully was that the media and public health advocates had so thoroughly panicked people in 2020 that they demanded what they saw (and were told) was a magic bullet; and the most panicked people were Biden's strongest supporters.

Of course no one will admit any of this…

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That’s pretty much it.

The advice I gave Thompson was right (if not slightly too favorable to the shots). The risk/benefit of the mRNAs was stratified very sharply by age, both because Covid risk falls so quickly and because at least some of the side effects, like myocarditis, appear more severe in younger people.

One point I didn’t mention in the email to my friend is that immunity after natural infection appears far superior to the vaccine-generated kind - this is no surprise to immunologists, as natural immunity is nearly always superior. In other words, anyone who had already recovered from Covid did not need the mRNAs and shouldn’t have been recommended them.

I know many of you think the vaccines were completely useless, but Covid deaths did drop sharply in mid-2021, the handful of months when the antibody protection from the mRNAs was enough to control infection.

Then they went right back up.

(See the happy vaccine valley, April through August 2021? The shots worked, until they didn’t.)

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So. Here we are. Three years, two months, and thirteen days after mass mRNA vaccinations began in the United States, almost everyone now knows the jabs are useless, as the failure of the fall 2023 booster campaign shows.

Will the public health authorities and media ever admit the truth - much less make a serious effort to track the short- and long-term harms from the shots?

I’ll leave you with the header on this morning’s email to my friend:

“Pissing into the wind…”