I don’t know what’s going to happen to Ukraine.
But here’s what I know.
To this point, the Biden administration has handled the crisis as badly as all the others. Which should surprise no one. War is the continuation of politics by other means, as a dead German once said, and Uncle Joe turns out to be phenomenally bad at politics.
Vladimir Putin doesn’t care what the bluechecks think of him. He doesn’t care if Anderson Cooper thinks he’s a mean mean meanie. If anything the anger of Western elites serves his purposes. He is cynical and brutal and he has seen an opening and he’s taking it.
At the most basic level, this crisis - like most international crises - is about leverage, and more specifically our lack of it.
We aren’t going to war for Ukraine. That leaves sanctions. Unfortunately the Russians could not care less about our sanctions. And thanks in part to the fact that an autistic teenage girl now sets global energy policy, oil is almost $100 a barrel and the Kremlin has money (and natural gas) to burn.
They know it and we know it. Plus, thanks in part to the fact that our President’s crackhead son became the wholly owned subsidiary* of a Ukrainian energy company - he was a board member, though his hydrocarbon experience is more or less limited to lighting up the ol’ pipe - we can’t even claim to be honest brokers.
*(Not wholly owned, the Chinese had a piece too.)
International order is about setting red lines that the other side KNOWS are red lines, and putting enough skin in the game to make clear the seriousness of our intentions. Like Poland, okay? Poland is a NATO member, and the Russians need to understand that an attack on Poland would be World War III, just like an attack on West Germany would have been back when there was a West Germany (it’s true, kids, there used to be a big wall that ran down the middle of Germany and if you tried to cross it the guards on the east side shot you. People aren’t always so nice.)
But Ukraine isn’t a NATO member, and we care so much about Ukraine that we just pulled our soldiers and diplomats out so that the Russians won’t accidentally kill them and make us fight for it. And the Ukrainians are well aware what this White House’s promises are worth. They just have to look about 2500 miles southeast to Kabul to know.
So as Tony Blinken and the gang talk about how terrible a Russian invasion of Ukraine is going to be, they might want to consider that all they’re doing is making us look even MORE impotent if and when Vlad the Impaler sends his tanks in.
And maybe I’ll be proved wrong. Maybe all our talk about how terrible a Russian invasion will be for the good citizens of Kyiv will convince the Russians to behave. Because they care so much about Ukrainian life!
But I’m guessing not. I’m guessing at this point we’d better start thinking about Poland. And maybe putting a division right close to the border, the kind of armor you can’t evacuate when the going gets tough, so both the Poles and the Russians know we’re serious.
Or we could just keep talking. That’s worked great so far.
Don’t blame me. I voted for Trump.
You’re wrong, Alex. Our gender neutral and non-binary soldiers will scare the living daylights out of the Russians if they go marching in..
I don't think that Biden et. al. actually believes that Russia is going to invade Ukraine. I think they created the narrative. They know that Russia does these military drills all the time. They know that there is shelling/skirmishes in certain parts of Ukraine all the time. So they create this narrative that Putin is going to invade and the invasion is imminent. All the US media lapdogs spend all their effort promoting the story. It is the lead story on all the Sunday "news" shows and every morning show has footage of Russian tanks and missiles.
Why? So that they can pretend that Biden fixed it. Biden intimidated Putin into not invading. What a genius US President we have! He convinced Putin NOT to invade Ukraine! What a genius! And poof, we all forget about the disaster in Afghanistan and the stunning incompetence that got 13 American soldiers killed. And we all forget about Biden looking at his watch as their bodies came home.
I am pretty sure that is the plan. Biden's approval numbers really tanked after Afghanistan when everybody saw the incompetence and cruelty of this administration. They are trying to craft some sort of foreign policy victory. So why not make the narrative that Biden stopped an invasion of Ukraine? Biden prevents WWIII. Never mind that Putin was never going to invade Ukraine to begin with.
Why do I keep thinking Ukraine is a distraction?
Is it designed to make Poor Ole Inept Demented Joe look like a World Leader--to redeem himself after the Afghanistan debacle?
Let's send that feckless idiot vice president to Munich, and hope she doesn't screw up too badly.
Pay no attention to truckers demonstrating in Canada...and never mind about the tyrannical prime minister!
That won't happen in the USA, but just in case let's barricade the Capitol.
Masks? What masks?
Failing vaccines? Vaccine side effects?
Fauci? Who's Fauci?
Just pay attention to that shiny object called Ukraine.
Elections. Have. Consequences.
The Greta Thunberg quip was priceless. That alone would have probably gotten you banned from Twitter.
The purpose of the insertion of biden as "president" was chaos. Real chaos in every aspect of our lives. Not the fake chaos that the trash at nyt or wash post peddled about Trump. Real tangible chaos.
The question is really what would Obama and Susan Rice do, because Biden seems to be in late stage dementia. Obama already destroyed Afghanistan, I think he's fine with handing Ukraine to Russia.
Tulsi Gabbard - former US Rep from Hawaii said last week, all Pres Biden has to do is to state that Ukraine will not become a member of NATO! That’s how a leader works to prevent bloodshed on both sides!! BTW - why do we care more about the Ukraine-Russian border than we do about our OWN borders??
Putin is a pretty good troll. He spun donuts on ObaMao’s White House lawn anytime he wanted. With Trump, not so much.
I’m ok with invading Canada and freeing them.
Putin plays Biden like a puppet, emboldening Xi, which is where the real war will be
People forget that just like Crimea, there are large sections of Ukraine which are essentially already Russian. Even if Putin does invade, it's not for all of Ukraine. It will be limited to those areas that already want to (overwhelmingly) be part of Russia. I like your analysis, but it's a little overstated in who Putin actually is. With an unnecessary disclaimer, I don't think Putin is a good guy, but don't make him out to be another Stalin, Hitler, etc. when he's clearly not.
“An autistic teenage girl now sets global energy policy.”
Fact Check: TRUE
The thing about Trump is that we never knew what he would do next…. and neither did the international villains. Turns out, that works pretty nicely.
Wag the Dog. This is nothing but a failed WH admin working to deflect the wholesale failure at home. They can then blame (and be parroted by their loyal Pravda members) inflation, economy and gas prices on the Russians. It's never been about truth and reality with this disaster in the WH, it's all about how many people they can convince their BS is actually the golden truth.
Ron Klein is working to set Biden up as the savior. He alone will stop WWIII.
The 0Biden regime continues to rattle its (rubber) sabers in an effort to distract us from his other ongoing failures. Not working. Every time I go to the grocery or fill up with gas, the 0Biden failures are screaming.
It takes great will at self deception to not see that the US is the aggressor here
Being the Irish cynic that I am I'm going to join the 'Who gives a s***!" camp. All I see is yet another wealllly wealllly big distraction to have the hordes NOT focus on every failure of this administration, and there must be an entry in the Guinness Book of Records for the sheer number of these, and these are only the ones folk know about.
The 2020 election was a national IQ test.
can you imagine Russia setting up shop in Mexico, Cuba, Venezuela? Russia is asking that US and its allies get out of its backyard with its missiles pointed directly at Moscow and St. Petersburg. A reasonable request, I'd say.
Or it's all theater...
Reporter: Will sanctions deter Putin?
Kamala Harris: "Within the context then of
the fact that that window is still opening,
although, open, although it is absolutely
narrowing, but within the context of a
diplomatic path still being open"
As always well written and I had to LOL about who sets global energy policy (what could go wrong?). Thanks for keeping the content coming.
All of this is simply about the military industrial complex to get its money ($$$) and its has. How many times has this same ploy played out thru the decades?
Food for thought....we only know what they WANT us to know (or "believe" as the case may be). 50+% of the US whole heartedly believe(d) that President Trump colluded with Russia in 2016 because they were TOLD it was true by the very people currently telling us 'Putin is preparing to invade Ukraine' and 'Putin is an evil dictator'. Isn't it ironic that the country this administration is "protecting" is Ukraine, which has deep ties to Hunter and Biden (Obama/Clinton?) millions $$$ and the villian is Russia (of course it's Russia....its always Russia, right?) Is it a coincidence that the same players are being used in a different verse of the same song they've been singing since 2016 nonstop....I think not. I trust the people sharing the "intell" as far as I can throw them!! What's true? What's a lie? Who knows, but they are still using the same playbook and they haven't even tried to hide it by switching the teams!! Something just isn't adding up...I smell a rat.
Alex, a word of advice: stick to what you know. You clearly know nothing about what is happening in the Ukraine.
If you'd like to get informed, I'd suggest this as a good starting point: https://www.unz.com/mwhitney/the-crisis-in-ukraine-is-not-about-ukraine-its-about-germany/
And if you don't want to get informed, then you're just as bad as the vaxx lemmings who don't want to get informed, aren't you?
All the attention on Russia/Ukraine sure gets us to stop jabbering so much about the the "vaccine" fraud, injuries and deaths.
The Administration is just looking for a win given the abysmal polling numbers and midterm prospects.
Times of Israel sent a reporter to Kiev and Kiev was not in a war prep mode.
Well said! I knew Slow Joe would be a bad president but he's proven to be awful beyond my wildest dreams. He and his corrupt, inept, clueless staff are going to destroy this country.
You don't have to like Trump but if anyone can't see the difference between him and Biden than they haven't put the work in to figure out what's going on.
Start with the world economic forum and Klaus Schwab because this is where all this is going. This is what Trudeau is pushing.
There's absolutely no evidence Trump was anywhere near that mess and that's why they wanted him out so bad.
"So as Tony Blinken and the gang talk about how terrible a Russian invasion of Ukraine is going to be, they might want to consider that all they’re doing is making us look even MORE impotent if and when Vlad the Impaler sends his tanks in."
Has anyone noticed that the agenda of the Biden set seems committed to making us look impotent? Hell, electing Biden was the profound first move that made us look impotent. It is so far off the hook now that one could imagine that our enemies are pulling all the political strings.
I have to correct you on something, Vlad the Impaler was Romanian and has nothing to do with Russia. Thanks.
Eastern Europe already knows US is using then dropping when they got nothing more to gain from all the little countries here. Anyway nations like Ukraine or Romania are already used to be slaves to corporations or bigger foreign powers. Independence? It's a joke to be put on papers and for the puppets in the governments. No country here is ever free.
I honestly could care less about Ukraine. How about we defend our own southern border instead of some other country’s border?
"an autistic teenage girl now sets global energy policy" - brutal!
Alex, I enjoy reading your commentary on COVID, but I think you’re delusional if you think Russia is thinking about invading Poland. If the US does not want Russia to invade Ukraine, it should stop egging on the Ukrainians to take the Donbass by force, and finally put pressure on Ukraine to implement the Minsk Accords, that are now codified under UN international law. Ukraine has outright refused to do this since 2015, and is now testing Russia by targeting Russian speakers in the breakaway region with Grad rockets. Russia never had it in their plans to invade Ukraine, but if western-backed Kiev continues shelling Russian speakers in the Donbass, this is exactly what will happen. Perhaps, that is what Biden actually prefers, so he can turn all of Europe against Russia and finally put the kibosh on Nord Stream 2.
At this point, if you voted for Biden you're complicit and owe us a lot more than an apology.
Dont blame me! I voted for Trump
Anyone else notice that Biden et al have changed the pronunciation of Kyiv to "keev". Surely the original pronunciation was rayciss.
Alex, I highly respect your take on everything Covid related, but you should probably leave geopolitics to others. No offense, but it's not your forte.
It seems like the only ones Biden is scaring at this point are the Ukrainians.
I do not want our troops involved. Let the incompetent EU deal with this. Our political officials, corporate war mongers, and the complaint left wing media need to shut up and get out of the way before they succeed in placing our troops in the hands of directives issued by our feckless military senior leadership.
Neverending COVID and neverending foreign wars stem from much the same mindset. Let the EU take care of itself.
Re the last part, let us not forget that NYT journalist Walter Duranty obfuscated this genocide to run cover for a cause to which he was sympathetic—and he won a prize for it!
Kamala Harris: "Within the context then of the fact that that window is still opening, although, open, although it is absolutely narrowing, but within the context of a diplomatic path still being open"
Well, that clears everything right up. Is Biden's dementia contagious?
Breathtaking how much history and facts Alex managed to skip over! Everyone might want to read Katrina Vanden Heuvel's latest. "Putin’s goal is the status quo: Keep Ukraine out of NATO. We have already made clear we aren’t prepared to defend Ukraine militarily. Isn’t it time for a deal that guarantees Ukraine’s sovereignty and independence in exchange for guaranteeing its neutrality? As I wrote last month, that outcome has already been detailed in the Minsk accords — negotiated by Russia, France, Germany and Ukraine, and endorsed by the European Union and the United Nations. Rather than invoking a global order that no longer exists, the Biden administration should consider an agreement that offers a path out of this mess." https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/02/15/path-out-of-ukraine-crisis/
There's also the part of "who gives an ef about Ukraine"... but it is a wonderful way to get the attention off of inflation/southern border crisis/crime/COVID handling disaster: vaccines.masks.lockdowns/Biden not being cognitively fit for office /Biden not giving press interviews/ tech monopolies banning free speech / media being a mess
Does anyone else feel like this is purposefully being played up to distract us from Canada, failing vaccines, mandates, policies, and mainly from the fact that everyone wants their freedoms back?
"To this point, the Biden administration has handled the crisis as badly as all the others."
Weren't these truths about Biden, Hunter etc. obvious on their face before the election?
Yet, by your own admission, you withheld your vote and helped clear the way for this disaster. With all due respect, that alone - withholding your vote, somewhat disqualifies you from providing political commentary.