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Even without adjusting for health status and age, it's statistical malfeasance to treat people within 5 weeks of getting their first shot as "unvaccinated" - especially when the majority of issues occur within the first couple of weeks of getting jabbed.

Even if both numbers were 90% in vaccinated and unvaccinated, by treating the vaccinated in a certain timeframe as unvaccinated - it will always skew the numbers to make it look like the vaccine works.

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Alex, I am doctor living in NSW. Many have expressed doubts about the total number of vaccinated in New South Wales. The real figure is probably 70-80%.

From the start, the ICU doctors I speak with have said the Covid affects the the vaccinated and unvaccinated equally.

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Exactly. Population based statistics are only valid if the populations are statistically equal. If the un-vaxxed population is unhealthy 90+ and the vaxxed population is healthy under 60s, it makes a big difference.

This is why you have double blind clinical trials of an appropriate length. Not truncated trials with non-statistically groups to the overall population.

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This is all bullshit.

Just based on the fact of how it was promoted to us.... Was supposed to provide complete protection. The goalposts have been moved MULTIPLE times.

Whomever took it was not supposed to be able to be infected, not supposed to be able to harbor and transmit. This last bullshit about hospitalizations and death is just another goalpost they will be forced to move in the near future.

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I would love to see all cause mortality tracked between vaxxed and unvaxxed. That alone would be interesting. But if we could further stratify by age and health/comorbidity…wow! That would speak volumes.

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People like Juan are, and have been, a big part of the problem.

There's absolutely no humility, at all, and full measures of inappropriate condescension.

Worst of all, a bizarre compulsion to carry water for big pharma and big government propaganda.

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"If 90% of a population is "vaccinated" and 75% of that SAME population is dying from COVID, then the "vaccine" is STATISTICALLY HAVING AN EFFECT."

ONLY IF YOU ASSUME 100% OF THE POPULATION HAS BEEN EXPOSED!

What it really shows is that NOBODY is "vaccinated" against COVID!!! Full stop.

NOBODY'S VACCINATED!

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Can we just simplify this already? The IFR is very low overall, and almost nothing at all for the young and healthy. The IFR decreased between July and Dec of last year. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v2

This is just not something to worry about. All the debates stem from statism and leftist, cult "safetyism" that created the panic.

The immune compromised and elderly are most at risk for ANY virus, bacteria or other complication. That's life. Bad flus and other viruses come and go and kill people. Deal with it. We are mere mortals. The amount of time, money and resources thrown at covid was obviously a huge mistake. Fear reigned over pragmatism. It was over a long time ago. Alex has done good work, but until we dismantle the industrial medical complex (in other words, the massive subsidized cartel) and regulatory-captured entities, nothing will change. Dissent is the only way to fight this. Stop wearing masks and stop taking the vax at the individual level. Let others do what they want and take their chances. As for the mandates, freedom is expensive. Quit your job and do something else. Time to live. Vote with your own individual action. Debating inexperienced, biased number crunchers doesn't seem like the right path to me. It just goes in endless circles.

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Feb 1, 2022·edited Feb 1, 2022

Thanks for the reminder, Alex. And, as Dr. Kory implied last Monday, there is a high likelihood that many of the people labeled as "unvaccinated" in the data sets were actually entered as "unknown vaccination status" in the hospital system codes (he said the only two options in some of the hospital codes are "vaccinated" or "status unknown") because for whatever reason, their status was unknown, thus, there is a high likelihood that any stats that identify "unvaccinated" probably actually include "vaccinated" people as well

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We're an innumerate society and the powers they be know this and take great advantage of it.

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Albert Bourla admitted on January 10th that the current Pfizer vax does not work against Omicron. Pfizer is apparently coming out with a new Omicron specific shot. So why are people still getting vaccinated?? I’m NOT vaxed (and never will be) but let’s say I wanted to start now. I wouldn’t be “fully vaxed” until the END OF JULY! We will be two more variants away from omicron my then. By the way, I had Omicron and immediately took Ivermectin. All I had was a sore throat for 3 days. My husband was the same. It works!

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Wow, that's an amazing statistical inference your reader makes. COVID hysteria is the failure of the public education system writ large.

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Y’all are making this too complicated. The risks of Covid-19 and the benefits of the gene therapy compounds were greatly overstated to the degree those making those statements simply no longer have any credibility. There’s no excuse for the bullying over vaccines or masks period!

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We went for vacation to Central America few years ago. The apartment was advertised as Balcony with Oceanview. Then they placed bunch of pictures of the Pacific Ocean. In reality the “Oceanview” was a stream of water less than 4 inch thick draining into the ocean. When he retires Fauci can easily manage one of those apartment complex.

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Victory today for those who want to live like a human being in San Francisco and not get vaccinated! Looks like the work of the vax stats truthers is paying off! Thanks, Alex, for getting the word out!

https://www.sfdph.org/dph/alerts/files/C19-07-Safer-Return-Together-Health-Order.pdf

As of today, San Francisco businesses are “allowed” to admit patrons if they state they are declining vaccination for religious or medical reasons. Thanks SF for “allowing” businesses to not discriminate on the basis of religion or medical condition!

<< Beginning on February 1, 2022, operators of such Businesses are allowed, but not required by this Order, to accept exemptions from the vaccination requirements subject to certain health precautions, as follows. Patrons and staff may be exempt from the vaccination requirements under this section only upon stating either of the following: (1) the individual is declining vaccination based on Religious Beliefs or (2) the individual is excused from receiving any COVID-19 vaccine due to Qualifying Medical Reasons. >>

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Oh STFU Juan

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Even if the 90%/75% argument were true, it merely establishes a reality that AT BEST the benefit from the shots is marginal.

Which demolishes absolutely any argument for coercive mandates (again).

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Their comment would be right if the proper multivariate analysis were completed. However, the refusal to acknowledge that 30 somethings unvaxxed aren't dying, but 80 somethings unvaxxed are and were too sick to be vaxxed anyway, is entirely misleading. It's like when the cdc pushes "95% of deaths are amoung the unvaxxed" when they try to count the ones who died when the vaccine wasn't even available. They continue to lie with disingenuous statistics because they know most of the population doesn't understand it.

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This is why they HAVE to vaccinate the healthy <50s to more and more absurd levels until they got down to babies. Vaccinating people who were unlikely to have severe symptoms in the first place helps make the vaccines look like they're working.

It's the only way I can wrap my head around the mandates for workers and college students. They make no logical sense otherwise based upon anything we know about these vaccines, or covid.

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Perhaps you could do a post explaining about adjusted ratios and demonstrate how they are misleading so we can recognize the false framing of the data and be knowledgable when discussing it with others. If you have already done so, perhaps link to it when discussing it.

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This is a point that I've seen in a number of Substacks, a point the vaxx fanatics and Covidiots REFUSE to acknowledge let alone consider or incorporate into their thinking:

Many elderly folks who die unvaxxed are unvaxxed BECAUSE they're elderly and not healthy enough to tolerate the vaxxes. So THEIR numbers disproportionately inflate the unvaxxed deaths number.

But no vaxx fanatic and no Covidiot wants to acknowledge how this fact perverts the numbers AND their arguments.

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Alex, please keep teaching them. They grew up in failing schools and do not understand math!

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They are not dying from Covid. They are dying from the injuries, blood clots, cancer, autoimmune disease, heart attacks, plus numerous other horrific side effects that Doctors and nurses risk there very livelihood if they properly report what these vaccines are causing. Hospitals are literally killing people with remdesivir and respirators as directed by NIAID and NIH If they report cause of death is Covid they actually get paid by NIH and NIAID. All for a faux pandemic with a mortatility rate of approximately .025%. When will people realize this entire pandemic narrative is an engineered hoax. Period. If starting tomorrow morning we just stopped all the responses, all the lockdowns, all the vaccines it would end. Except for dealing with the many people that are eventually going to either live with crippling health problems or die from these horrific mRNA injections. Search for and watch Senator Ron Johnson’s hearing on Covid. Why are people still discussing this as if the responses just need some tweaking. This entire thing is being driven by the most evil psychopaths the world has ever seen. We have in two years gone from a health care system where you could count on Doctors trying to help you to Doctors and Hospitals trying to kill you to serve lord Fauci. The bad actors in this thing are spelled out in Dr Reiner Fuellmich’s class action lawsuits against the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, WHO, governments and political leaders worldwide. He is leading a team of 34 lawyers. Look at his site

www.stopworldcontrol.com. His team makes it pretty clear this crime is about three things. 1. Control 2. Population reduction 3. Money

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If the mRNA injections worked, even a smidgen, then there would be hardly any new cases in a place like Israel. This is one of the best testing grounds and it is more than obvious that these poisons are a miserable failure and only work to destroy the immune system.

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The vaccines don't work...there...I said it

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I am not smart enough to fully understand this, but I'm trusting Alex.

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This is why the "my symptoms are mild because of my vaccine" argument is so illiterate and infuriating.

For people of relatively young age and normal health status, covid is mostly going to be mild/moderate. Vaccinated or not.

People of relatively old age and poor health status will always make up the majority of covid deaths. Vaccinated or not.

The vaccine fanatics always conveniently ignore health and age status when comparing vaccinated vs unvaccinated because this threatens the "vaccines are working" narrative.

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I am a covid survivor.... took a total of 4 asprin... and I am covid vaccine-free since Ihave natural immunity... so why do I need to be injected with a genetic experiment that does not work? I am not an anti-vaxer since I have made sure my children received the tried and tested vaccines that have been shown to be relatively safe. This mRNA poison is alarmingly dangerous and would never have been approved under normal circumstances. The level of corruption associated with this is mind boggling and the criminal class posing as politicians and their pseudo scientific experts all need weeding out. Doctors who have accepted payments to give these shots have been ethically compromised and should resign.

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The whole mainstream narrative is ridiculous because:

1. Unvaccinated are tested much more than vaccinated.

2. There’s a healthy user bias: People who choose to take a vaccine are healthier (on average) than people who don’t.

3. Some people are too frail to take the vaccine. These people are obviously at high risk for Covid if they’re not even strong enough to take the vaccine.

4. PCR cycle thresholds are run higher on people who are unvaccinated than people who are vaccinated. This inflates positive results in the unvaccinated.

5. Partially vaccinated, and up to 2 weeks after the second dose is often counted as unvaccinated. This skews the stats considerably. Also, this is when the vast majority of illness occurs (up to 2 weeks after the second dose).

Bottom line: all mainstream statistics for cases and deaths are heavily skewed towards unvaccinated relative to vaccinated. *And yet, many regions still show higher cases per capita among the vaccinated.*

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Something Dr. Pierre Kory said at Senator Ron Johnson's hearing sticks with me. He said (paraphrasing) "there really are only 2 groups that matter. There are the treated and the untreated."

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I'm finding really hard to get detailed info out of my local government on health status and even detailed age. Also no other details like type of 'vaccine', death in/out of hospital, with or of COVID-19. Information is critical to making a proper risk assessment!

Most egregious to me when rates are published is that they have resorted to 2 classifications - 'fully vaccinated' and 'not fully vaccinated'. They provide vague definitions of days since injected but from the public data it's impossible to look at efficacy by zero dose, 1 dose, 2 dose,... When they obfuscate their reporting I immediately ask "WHY?" And the obvious conclusion is that they have something to hide!

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It seems some people haven't heard of the healthy user effect, and other confounders of observational studies. As Mr. Berenson points out, the actual randomized controlled trials of the vaccines didn't show a reduction in all-cause mortality.

Shrank WH, Patrick AR, Brookhart MA. Healthy user and related biases in observational studies of preventive interventions: a primer for physicians. J Gen Intern Med. 2011 May;26(5):546-50. doi: 10.1007/s11606-010-1609-1. Epub 2011 Jan 4. PMID: 21203857; PMCID: PMC3077477.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21203857/

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Poor Juan getting dragged

People cannot see this because they’re unwilling to see what’s happening.

For many it’s too painful to awaken to the fact that they’ve been lied to for decades.

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Very good stuff. Keep fighting Alex!

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El Gato Malo has a great piece called Stats with Cata a few weeks back - showing how saline could be shown to have “vaccine efficiency.” It’s a great simplistic breakdown.

The need to push constant boosters into a wave because of the definition.

Say today they said “only 15% of deaths this week were boosted and 30% of the population has had a booster!” They are comparing apples to oranges. What they would need to do is go back to when those people got infected to see what percentage of the population WAS boosted 5-7 weeks ago for deaths. Doing that the boosters almost always show negative efficiency.

It’s even worse when someone gets “boosted” in a wave - they become very likely to get sick <14 days after the shot. They get called “not up to date” and that scares more people into the same stupidity.

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Two years in and we still don’t have solid numbers from those recovered. NATURAL IMMUNITY!! Keep screaming Alex. History will show you were on the side of truth.

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The way to measure is against baseline like the Department of Defense Data leaked by the whistleblowers and reported at the January 24th Senate Hearing. People show their ignorance when they repeat the mantra "numbers don't lie". The hypnotized can not hear logic. Indeed they do not WANT to hear logic. The people holding on to their comfort zone that government can be trusted so hard will not give that up till death. They will buy tombstones for their babies that say they are so glad they sacrificed them to the shots. Arguing with the hypnotized is like arguing with AI troll bots programmed to demoralize people who are aware of the deception. Things are happening behind the censorship. The shots are going to be shut down. The Great Goodbye signified by the collapsing athletes on TV has just begun. This is going to be like watching the Hindenburg crash in slow motion for 10 years. And there will be a tipping point that leads to the jailers of humanity being dragged out into the streets by their own bodyguards. But they are going to destroy as many people with the HUMAN EMBRYONIC KIDNEY CELL LINE DEVELOPED VACCINES as they possibly can before it all goes down in flames. Human Embryonic Kidney cells are one of the human sources in the monoclonal antibodies too. They don't tell you that at the clinic do they?

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Just looked at Israel's numbers. It is not looking good still 80,000 a day and the highest per day death rate since the start of Corona. Denmark's data is not much better. Both countries are highly vaccinated These countries and others have crossed the Rubicon. Antibody Dependent Enhancement.

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Watch the videos out of Canada today, especially through Rebel News. History is being made on the Alberta-U.S. border now. Hopefully will end without any casualties. Some videos have been posted on Twitter.

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With these "vaccines", there is another reason why the vaccinated Covid death numbers look a little better than the unvaxxed.

Imagine this. Imagine you threw a bunch of people into the middle of the ocean and you wanted to prove that this technique would teach people to swim. Now half the people who you threw into the ocean managed to swim to shore and the other half drowned.

Well, you start measuring how well your technique worked 2 hours after the experiment began and voila, you end up with 100% success for your technique! Never mind that you managed to eliminate all the least capable swimmers in those first 2 hours. By starting the measurement of results after 2 hours, you can prove near perfect outcomes.

Now back to the Covid vaccines. If you only start measuring people's health outcomes 6 weeks after the first shot is given, then all those least healthy people who die in the first 6 weeks magically don't count! Just like your group of people who already knew how to swim!

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founding

These vaccine trials were sold as if you took them that you would not end up in the hospital. This is truly not the case regardless of the patient comorbidities they were told they would be safe from catching viral pneumonia. These vaccine trials are messing with the immune system. Most people can fight an infection without medication or hospitalization. When people in their 50's after being vaccinated are ending up in the hospital and that patient tells you that they are glad that they never took the booster should tell you something. I feel bad for everyone who took these vaccine trials to keep a job. Your health is most important if you are a good worker, you can find a job any place. This risk of getting sick disabled or death is not worth that chance in my mind. People dont realize that most vaccine trials after 7 to 10 years. Never make final approval by the FDA or for safety in humans.

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I don't know if I should laugh or cry at the absolute braindead, follow Fauci like a zombie stupidity, these people are displaying. Dude probably didn't were a mask, then 2, then 3, then a KN95 with tape on each side, all while putting his mail in the microwave prior to touching it, followed by reporting on every unvaccinated person who died, ignoring that most have severe underlying health issues while completely ignoring the vaccine injuries; that are in the 10's of thousands along with the nothing to see here attitude with regard to the vaccinated who are dying faster than ever. Yeah, he is a toolbox

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Lets also not forget a lot of the 10% unvaxxed that would be dying can't get the vaccines because they are too sick. They also miss the fact that if 75% of all deaths are vaxxed there is an issue with the vax. Last I checked no one is dying of viruses that we have other vaccines for. Seems like people only die from this virus while vaccinated

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I will let Ted Nugent have the final word on the Jab and the Jabbed!

https://www.bitchute.com/video/X5LyZlcyrk07/

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In my Statistics Class, I learned that all numbers were probability, as long as no one lied

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They have lied to us since the beginning. This is the worst vaccine ever distributed. Not tested properly and rammed down peoples throats using fear and intimidation to get people to comply. Its not working and Big Pharma is not your friend.

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Don't know about the stats, but talked to one person yesterday who had COVID in the early days and recovered, then got vaccinated and came down with delta over Christmas and became very sick but pulled out of it fortunately (was given ivermectin), and then, a few weeks later came down with omicron--a triple whammy. My only question is: did the vaccinations contribute to his subsequent illnesses?

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Who dies the most from Covid? The most frail!

And the most frail aren’t able to get the vaccine!

This seems the biggest fraud when calculating the vaccinated v the unvaccinated!

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Wait, if 75% of the population that is vaxxed is dying, THAT's why I should get the jab? Do these people have any sense of how ridiculous they sound?

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Alex, I love you, but please get this through

your thick skull: If 90% of a population wear

red shoes, but only 75% of that SAME

population is dying from COVID, then the

wearing of red shoes is STATISTICALLY HAVING AN

EFFECT. If no effect, then both numbers

would be 90%... Since it’s lower, it tells us

there’s reduction in mortality as a result of

the wearing of red shoes. Just… Please… acknowledge

this fact because this my friend makes your

reporting biased.

Your assertion that adjusted numbers don’t

matter is patently FALSE. YES it does matter.

If 2 people in a population don’t wear red

shoes, and 2 people die, then 100% of the

red shoe hesitant died. Adjusting by population size

IS THE WAY YOU MEASURE THIS

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