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The Covid vaccine era is ending already
Not with a bang, but with a tiny little prick
Vaccine passports are dead.
Vaccine mandates are deader.
Actual vaccinations are deadest of all.
All over Europe, countries are dropping Covid vaccination passports only months after introducing them. Since Friday, Italy and Greece have become the latest nations to say they will dump passport requirements as of May 1.
Both countries made the usual noises about no longer needing rules because Covid is so under control. “We are of course keeping a very close watch on the epidemic curve,” Italy’s prime minister said.
Yes, watching the number of new infections almost double in the last two weeks!
Viewed over the longer term, the picture is even worse. When Italy introduced its vaccine passport last September, it had roughly 4,000 infections a day. When it tightened restrictions in December, it had under 15,000.
Now it has 70,000 a day.
I cannot say this enough times: Covid vaccine restrictions are ending not because the mRNA vaccines have succeeded but because they have failed.
The depth of that failure is so complete that to explain it sounds almost conspiratorial. The mRNA vaccines do not just not work against Omicron, they have negative efficacy, which is why the most highly vaccinated countries in the world now have levels of infection far higher than they had last year or in 2020 - and far higher than countries that did not use the mRNA vaccines.
Here’s Austria, which in January became the first country in Europe to announce not just a vaccine passport but a Covid vaccine mandate. Austria now has more coronavirus infections than the United States - with a population 1/35th as large.
No wonder Austria dumped its mandate two weeks ago, before it ever really took effect. And no wonder the German parliament walked away last week from plans to pass its own mandate.
As a result, Omicron is rocketing around Europe and parts of East Asia at levels that were previously unthinkable. Meanwhile, countries that did not use mRNA jab (or to a lesser extent the DNA shot from AstraZeneca) have far, far smaller caseloads.
In the very short run, a second booster may reduce infections marginally. But even the most committed vaccine fanatics are pressing a fourth shot only half-heartedly, since clinical trial data supporting its use basically do not exist, and the pattern is now clear - once the supra-national antibodies wane, the protection does too.
While governments will not openly admit the Covid jabs have failed, their citizens understand the reality. Fewer than 80,000 Americans a day are now getting BOOSTERS - out of more than 100,000,000 people who are eligible. By definition, the booster audience should not be “vaccine-hesitant,” since it consists of people who already took Covid jabs.
Thus the only real question left is not whether countries will be able to convince their citizens to take more mRNA jabs but what happens next to the people who have already taken them - that is, whether they have any kind of durable immunity AFTER they are infected against reinfection either with Omicron or with other variants.
It is too soon to know, but the fact that infections are again rising in Israel less than two months after it saw a massive Omicron surge is worrisome.
Meanwhile, both Covid deaths and all-cause mortality remain stubbornly high:
The mRNA vaccine era began barely a year ago with incredible optimism. Unfortunately, the reality has been very different.
The question now becomes how much longer the governments, academics, companies, and journalists who pressed these shots on more than 1 billion people can keep denying the truth.