(Read this one to the end.)
So researchers decided to look at whether heavy use of cocaine, cannabis, and other drugs increases the risk for breakthrough Covid infections. (They found having a cannabis use disorder does; other drugs don’t, once you control for comorbidities. Tell Your Children.)
Anyway, that’s not the news.
This study was large and well-conducted. It used a database that covers 85 million Americans in 63 health-care organizations. It was published Oct. 5 in World Psychiatry, a peer-reviewed journal. People were included if they’d had no Covid infection before vaccination and had been “fully vaccinated” - that is, 14 days after the second dose.
The researchers wound up examining medical records of about 580,000 Americans, 30,000 with a substance use disorder, 550,000 without. They found that just over 7 percent of people with a use disorder wound up with a breakthrough infection between January and August, compared to 3.6 percent of those without.
Okay. Set aside the small group of users and focus only on the 550,000 people in the non-using group. They had a 3.6 percent chance of infection for fully vaccinated people over eight months, January to August.
But eight months is really about four months. Why? These are BREAKTHROUGH infections, and the average vaccinated American was not “fully” vaccinated until mid-April. (Remember, too, that “breakthrough” infections do not include the two weeks after the first dose, when vaccine efficacy is somewhere between zero and negative.)
So 1 in 28 “fully vaccinated” people was infected over the four months when the vaccines were at peak effectiveness. Because vaccines work!
But story gets worse. Much worse.
The researchers stratified the risk of infection by month, January through August.
Here’s that chart - for the 550,000 people WITHOUT a substance use disorder, in other words the vast majority of the sample.
The rate of breakthrough infections rose FIVE-FOLD between July and August (and roughly 20-fold from March to August).
By the way, the scale here represents the rate of breakthrough infections PER DAY. In other words, in August, those 550,000 fully vaccinated people had a roughly 1 in 200 chance of being infected each day. (Which translates into about a 7 percent chance for the month, which doesn’t match the 3.6 percent total infection rate for this group for the entire time period. It is possible the data does not cover the entire month. Nonetheless the trend could not be clearer.)
As the researchers explained:
A similar trend was observed in the non-SUD population: the rate of breakthrough infection steadily increased from 0 cases/person-day in January 2021 to 0.0009 cases/person-day in June 2021, and then reached 0.0049 cases/person-day in August 2021 (5.4 times faster than in June 2021)
It is simply impossible to argue about vaccine failure any more.
Whether it’s because of the Delta variant, waning antibodies, or some combination, the vaccines simply don’t provide infection (and thus transmission) protection. The only studies that show anything like 80 or 90 percent protection after a few months are those the companies have funded. Maybe they provide some protection against serious cases - hospitalizations and deaths - for longer, but we don’t know how long, and that efficacy declines too.
In any case, as has been pointed out over and over - but I will say yet again - if the vaccines do not stop infection and transmission, then even if they provide some health benefit (and it is far from clear they have a net health benefit for healthy adults under 50, and possibly older), they SHOULD NEVER, NEVER, NEVER be mandated.
I can’t believe I have to write this, but apparently I do.
In the United States, we do not force adults take medicines or have medical procedures if they are psychiatrically competent (and it is quite difficult to get long-term judgments of incompetency, as it should be). We do not make them lose weight. Or stop drinking. Or exercise. We do not make women have abortions (or get pregnant).
PERSONAL MEDICAL DECISION MAKING IS PERSONAL; IT DOES NOT BELONG TO THE STATE.
These Covid vaccine mandates and quasi-mandates are fast becoming the greatest infringement on liberty in the United States since slavery was abolished; and I don’t know what is going to stop them.